Celebrating Success: Dr Chen Su
Congratulations to Dr Chen Su whose recent sell-side analyst article has been published with Financial Review (the official journal of the Eastern Finance Association, USA):
Chen Su (2023) The Price Impact of Analyst Revisions and the State of the Economy: Evidence around the World. Financial Review, pages 1-45
This paper examines the price impact of analyst revisions in distinct economic states around the world. We find stronger average two-day cumulative abnormal returns in bad times, though this pattern is mainly observed in developed countries. In addition, trading strategies following analyst revisions, with holding periods from one to six months, are generally more profitable in good times with lower macroeconomic uncertainty, after controlling for market and common risk factors. The profitability, however, disappears or declines substantially after accounting for time-varying risk premia conditioned on lagged macroeconomic information, indicating a reduced information production role played by analysts in recent decades.